Trump overtakes Clinton in president race

Trump overtakes Clinton in president raceForty percent of registered voters now say they will back Clinton (a dip of three points), while 40 percent will vote for Trump (a bump up of three points). The latest CBS News/New York Times poll was released Thursday, with Clinton down 3 points and Trump up 3 points from last month.

Most registered voters say they have made up their minds about who to support: 90 percent of Trump voters and 88 percent of Clinton voters say their choice is set. About one in 10 of each's candidates' supporter say their minds might change before the election.

The poll of registered voters comes after Clinton avoided charges over her use of private email while secretary of State but was criticized by FBI director James Comey.

Most voters in the CBS/NYT poll say Clinton did something wrong when she used a personal email server for work, including 46 percent who say what she did was illegal. Republicans largely contribute to those views that what she did was illegal. Half of independents also held that view, while few Democrats thought she broke the law.

While the 2016 race is now neck and neck, each candidate continues to perform well with their party's key voters. Clinton enjoys strong support from women, African Americans, and younger voters, while Donald Trump gets the support of men, white voters (particularly those without a college degree), and white evangelicals. Each candidate is also winning the support of eight in ten of their party's voters.

Independents have changed since the last poll. Clinton has lost some ground with independent voters and they have now swung Trump's way. Independents were virtually split in last month's poll, but Trump now leads Clinton by 12 points among them.
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