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Tories would have majority under boundary shake-up

By Alix Culbertson, political reporter
Theresa May's Conservatives would have won a majority at the last election if proposed boundary changes had been in place.
Election analysts have found that the Tories would have a majority of 16 after last year's vote if plans revealed on Monday had been adopted.
The proposal is calling for the number of parliamentary constituencies to be reduced from 650 to 600.It should have been implemented before the 2015 general election, but was abandoned after splits in the coalition government.If it had been in place last June, Mrs May would not have had to make a deal with Northern Ireland's DUP to gain her current small working majority of 13.All the main political parties would have lost MPs overall due to having 50 fewer constituencies, but the gap between Labour and the Conservatives would have widened under the plans from the current 55 MPs to 76.Michael Thrasher, Sky News' election analyst, and Colin Rallings, an associate members of Nuffield College, Oxford, with Mr Thrasher, found that under the plans the parties would have had this many MPs:Conservatives: 308 (10 fewer than elected)Labour: 232 (30 fewer than elected)Lib Dems: 7 (five fewer than elected)
SNP: 33 (two fewer than elected)Plaid Cymru: 2 (two fewer than elected)Green: 1 (same)DUP: 10 (same)Sinn Fein: 7 (same)The boundary review was carried out by four independent boundary commissions - one each for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland - and has to be approved by parliament.
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Reviews are neccessary because population increases and internal migration affect constituency sizes.:: The border review analysis was carried out on behalf of Sky News, the Press Association, the BBC and ITV
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