Authorization

Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

Sterling pares back,having leaptto highest level against dollar since July on Juncker deal optimism...
...but narrowly holds gains for the week overall, to reach three weeks of consecutive gains for the first time since January
FTSE lags behind European rivals at close
RBS names Thomas Cooks survival battle hit by ?200m demand
Ryan Bourne:The Tories should appoint a Bank Governor to box in Jeremy Corbyn
5:21PM
Wrap-up: Sterling holds longest streak of weekly gains since January
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

Brexit secretary Steve Barclay said Brexit talks would continue next week

Credit:
Toby Melville/REUTERS
Thats a wrap! Sterling managed to hold out for its first three-week run of gains since January, though it was with rather more of a whimper than a bang as Brexit updates knocked sentiment back and forth all day.
The FTSE which looked like it could have gone either way several points today closed down, despite improvements for most of its continental peers.
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

Credit:
Bloomberg TV
Over in the US, the benchmark S&P 500 is within touching distance of a new all-time high, but it might be too flat to reach it today.
Thats all from me this week. Join me again on Monday for the latest news on business, markets and economics. Until then!
4:39PM
PureCircle delays results after PwC finds possible inventory issue
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

Sugar lumps and stevia leaves

Credit:
Westend61 GmbH / Alamy Stock Photo
Stevia company PureCircle has postponed its full-year results, which were due on Monday, after auditors PwC found a potential issue in its inventories. It told the City in a statement just before markets closed:

During the course of the audit of the Groups financial statements for the year ended 30 June 2019, a potential issue relating to the classification and valuation of certain inventory items was identified by the Group's auditors, PricewaterhouseCoopers.
Business Briefing Newsletter REFERRAL (Article)
The small-cap, Kuala Lumpur-headquartered company has launched an investigation, which it says will probably take several weeks. It added:

At this stage of the investigation, the Company is unable to determine whether or not the potential issue is material or whether it is limited to the year ended 30 June 2019.
There can be no certainty as to quantum at this stage in the process, but the Company currently believes the aggregate amount of the potential issue could be up to US$30 million. Based on the initial indications from the investigation, the Company and its professional advisers have seen no indication that the potential issue has any impact on the net debt of the Group or the cash generation of the business.
As a consequence of the identification of the potential issue, the Company will be approaching its banks and will seek appropriate waivers under its banking arrangements as required.

Its shares dropped by almost a fifth today.
4:25PM
Fed plans another three weeks of money-market interventions
Oof after a week of interventions that dont appear to have completely solved plumbing issues on the US overnight money markets, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York has said it will continue carrying out daily $75bn actions to provide liquidity and keep the repurchasing rate stable. It will also carry at least $90bn of 14-day term repo operations.
In English: the US central bank isnt confident that cash supply issues that blocked up its money-lending markets earlier this week are resolved, so has laid out a medium-term plan to tackle them.
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

Credit:
NY Fed
As a reminder, interventions of this type were common during the financial crisis, but this weeks events have seemingly been brought on but a combination of tax deadlines and bond maturities.
NY Fed is now offering both overnight and 14-day term repos. Wonder when it will establish that standing facility? https://t.co/2Sa0ol6GBt (((Frances Coppola))) (@Frances_Coppola) September 20, 2019
4:00PM
Singapore rogue trader loses $320m through unauthorised trades
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

A Singapore-based trader has been reported to police after racking up losses on unauthorised trades

Credit:
Xinhua / Barcroft Media
Uh-oh. A rogue trader from the Singapore unit of one of Japans biggest trading houses has been reported to the police after allegedly losing hundreds of millions of dollars on unauthorised trades. Harriet Russell reports:

Petro-Diamond Singapore, a subsidiary of Mitsubishi Corp, which trades crude oil and petroleum products, said it expectedto book a loss of approximately $320m (?256m) from unauthorised trades of crude oil derivatives.
Despite closing the position PDS is still examining the total amount of losses, which are likely to be the largest in the companys history.
Read the full sorry tale here:Rogue Singapore oil trader loses $320m in unauthorised trades
3:54PM
Sterling pulls back to flat
Politics-reactive foreign exchange trading is obviously in a weird place currently.
Jean-Claude Junckers remarks, which pushed the pound up yesterday, have now seeminglybeen all-but forgotten even though Sky News is presumably planning to broadcast their interview with the European Commission President on Sunday.
Will further upbeat comments from theLuxembourger make traders take a second bite of the sentiment cherry?
Either way, the pound is now flat against the dollar on the day, it looks like that January streak of gains will be matched. Heres a much more interesting way of looking at action around the pound:
1-month $GBPUSD implied vols getting elevated again - back at levels last seen in April#FX #Options pic.twitter.com/vcG2hs1zES Michael Brown (@MrMBrown) September 20, 2019
3:39PM
Investec downgrades RBS
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

RBS has appointed Alison Rose as its new chief executive

Credit:
TOLGA AKMEN/AFP
Royal Bank of Scotland has been at the top of the FTSE 100 for much of today, after appointinglifer Alison Rose to be its next chief executive.
Investec analyst Ian Gordon, however, has chosen to slightly party poop: downgrading the stock to hold and recommending Lloyds and Barclays as superior options.
Mr Gordon said that with shares having rallied hard lately, gains from here will be more limited.
That appears to have taken a bit of shine off RBS shares, which have lost about 1.1pc of their gains since the note was released. They are still up nearly 3pc.
The meanies at Investec downgrade RBS to a sell on Alison Rose's first day as CEO-elect, even though she's the "ideal successor" pic.twitter.com/o2uqsCzoLj Jon Yeomans (@JonLYeomans) September 20, 2019
Of course, Investec itself is not having the best day, leading fallers on the FTSE 250 currently, down almost 8pc...
2:56PM
Heres how the pound has moved against the dollar over the past couple of days
The gains from Junckers comments have been wiped away:
2:46PM
Wall Street climbs at open
US markets opened a few minutes ago, and have quickly posted gains.
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

Credit:
Bloomberg TV
In Europe, things are looking upbeat too, with the FTSE 100 advancing slightly:
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

Credit:
Bloomberg TV
2:39PM
Government shortlists eight firms to provide post-Brexit ferry capacity
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

Ferries arrive and leave with freight traffic at the Port of Dover in Kent

Credit:
Gareth Fuller/PA
The Department for Transport has shortlisted eight firms that will be allowed to bid to provide the UK with extra ferrying capacity post-Brexit.
Under a framework drawn up by the DfT, the companies would provide freight capacity for critical goods like medicines after 31 October, in the event that Britains exit causes disruption at the borders.
The companies signed up include ferry operators, Brittany Ferries, DFDS A/S, Irish Ferries, P&O Ferries, Seatruck and Stena, andtransport operators Air Charter Services and Eurotunnel.
Transport Secretary Grant Schapps said:

Preparations to leave the EU on the 31 October are continuing at pace and we will do whatever it takes to ensure the flow of life-saving medicines into theUK .
This framework guarantees long-term national resilience and Im confident the combined expertise of these high quality and experienced firms appointed to the framework will ensure we are ready for Brexit day and beyond.
As a reminder, securing extra freight capacity has caused severe headaches to a previous Transport Secretary:Chris Graylings no-deal Brexit ferry debacle cost taxpayers ?85m, watchdog finds
2:26PM
Pound slips slightly on limited talk progress
Sterling has lost some of its lustre in the past hour, after Irelands deputy PM struck a less-than-positive tone on trade talks, and the European Commission offered a fairly muted statement on talks between chief negotiator Michael Barnier and Brexit secretary Steve Barclays.
The drop is being slightly exacerbated by a strengthening dollar, which is making incremental gains against other major currencies.
? Statement by @EU_Commission following todays meeting between @MichelBarnier and @SteveBarclay #Brexit ????https://t.co/5VLLbjMLvc pic.twitter.com/Ct5fTdanx9 Daniel Ferrie (@DanielFerrie) September 20, 2019
That hasnt given much lift to the flat FTSE, which is up just 0.07pc currently. Germanys DAX is similarly flat, but gains are larger elsewhere on the continent.
Sterling is still up against the euro.
1:32PM
Investment case for Thomas Cook remains extremely opaque
Another interesting note from Barclays today: its analysts have plunged into Thomas Cooks latest turbulence,to assess whether a fresh price drop presents a buying opportunity for risk-hungry investors.
Their conclusion? Its tricky:

Sinceour last report, the shares have declined 79pcfrom 19p to 4p. There has been a huge amount of newsflowwhich highlights the complexity of the recapitalisation and negotiations with multiple parties. The investment case, therefore, remains extremely opaque and TCG continues to sit squarely in the special situation bucket.

In short, they remain pretty downbeat on both Thomas Cook and its larger rival, Tui (which is fairly level today). Heres how the pairs share performance has compared in recent years:
1:11PM
Full report: Eve Sleep shares slump
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

Eve Sleeps co-founder Jas Bagniewski stepped down as chief executive last year
My colleague Laura Onita has a full report on this mornings major share price drop for Eve Sleep, which is down nearly 36pc currently after announcing it had ended merger talks with rival Simba. Laura writes:

Shares which had been suspended sincereports emerged about a deal in Augustslumped 35pc to just over 3p, valuing the company at ?8.3m.
Eve said that selling itsfoam mattresses in a boxhad been more challenging thanpreviouslyanticipatedand now expectedrevenues to bebetween ?25m to ?28m this year.
Read more here: Eve Sleep merger with Simba falls out of bed
12:35PM
Ben Marlow: Fall of Thomas Cook will send out major shockwaves
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

Thomas Cook pioneered mass tourism and package holidays

Credit:
PAUL ELLIS/AFP/Getty Images
With Thomas Cook teetering on the brink of collapse,Chief City Commentator Ben Marlow warns the companys end could have wide-reaching consequences. He writes:

It is a desperately sad end for a company thatpioneered mass tourism and package holidays, survived both world wars and has been through all manner of takeovers and corporate overhauls.
Whos to blame for this giant calamity? Take your pick. No one will emerge with their reputations intact but the fallout will be truly ugly.Forget Woolworths, BHS, or any of the other big corporate collapses of recent times, the disappearance of Thomas Cook will leave a trail of destruction across Europe.
Read more here: Collapse of Thomas Cook will reverberate across the continent
City Intelligence newsletter (SUBSCRIBER) Article
11:58AM
Profile: Alison Rose, RBSs new chief executive
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

49-year-old Alison Rose has climbed the ranks at RBS. She is currently chief executive of commercial and private banking

Credit:
JULIAN SIMMONDS/The Telegraph
With Alison Rose set to become the first woman to lead a big UK bank when she takes the reins at RBS, heres Banking Editor Lucy Burtons profile of the executive with a bullet-proof reputation:
Workaholic Alison Rose takes on the toughest role in banking as first female boss of RBS
UK banking | High-flying females
11:29AM
Ashley at it again: Sports Direct boss weighs in on JD Sports plans for Footasylum takeover
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

Mike Ashley is one of Britains most outspoken bosses

Credit:
John Nguyen/JNVisuals
Sports Direct boss Mike Ashley has started a fight on yet another front, it seems, with an attack on rival JD Sports. Retail correspondent Laura Onita has the latest...

Laura Onita: Ashley kicks off new row with rival JD Sports



Mike Ashleys Sports Direct fired off another bizarre missive this morning, this time weighing in on the competition watchdogs investigation into rival JD Sports acquisition of Footasylum.
It says: Although the full text of the competition and markets authoritys decision is not yet public, Sports Directs board has received legal advice that the issues identified by the CMA in its announcement regarding brand relationships specifically, are likely to be a key focus of any Phase II investigation, but are also likely to have wider market implications beyond this transaction, as they appear to highlight the power of the must-havebrands and potential market-wide practices aimed at controlling the supply and, ultimately, the pricing of their products.
The CMA has not said it will look at the deal in more detail yet, which would be the so-called phase two. If it does, the likes of Sports Direct and other competitors will likely have to offer their views on the sector as part of the process. But rather than wait and do it privately, Sports Direct decided to share its thoughts with the City today regardless.
Sports Directs main gripe appears to be brand relationships. Worth noting that while JD Sports historically has had very good ties with the likes of Nike and Adidas, which it sells in its stores, Sports Direct does not.
JD Sports declined to comment.
Twitter users can follow Laura for the latest retail news here.
Heres how the two retailers shares have fared this year (NB: JD is in the FTSE 100, while SD is FTSE 250):
11:08AM
Rude awakening: Eve sleep shares plummet after merger talks end
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

Eve Sleeps shares are down nearly 35pc
Shares in mattress retailer Eve Sleep are down nearly 35pc currently, after it announced talks with rival Simba over a potential merger had ended.
The company said this morning:

The board of eve has decided that now is not the right time to pursue thepotentialmerger and that it is more appropriate to focus on the eve rebuild plan, as previously communicated to investors in the Company's 2018 results announcement on 12 March 2019.
The board will continue to seek further acquisitive growth opportunities, in addition to its focus on driving organic growth, in order to support its focus on a path to profitability.

The direct-to-consumer seller, which switched its management team in March, is choosing to focus on its own operations rather than pursue a new tie-up.
In an update to the City, Eve warned over profit and said challenging trading conditions would means its revenues hit a lower level than previously expectedthough it also managed to lower operating losses.
Chief executive James Sturrock said:

The opportunity to create aleadingsleep wellness brand remains undiminished and I am confident that eve's rebuild strategy, centred around a differentiated brand positioning.

The drop is yet more bad news for Neil Woodford, who was one of the firms earliest backers.
10:55AM
Pound pares back some gains as Ireland pours cold water on Johnson proposals
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

Irish Deputy PMSimon Coveney

Credit:
BENOIT TESSIER/REUTERS
The pounds climb has lost some of its energy, after Irish Deputy Simon Coveneysaid there is a wide gap between London and Dublin over a new Brexit deal.
My colleague Harry Yorke reports that while Mr Coveneyacknowledged that the mood music had improved in recent days, he claimed that the two sides were not close to reaching a new agreement.
Follow along with the latest political news live: Brexit latest news: Deputy Irish PM claims backstop alternatives have not stood up to scrutiny in blow to Boris Johnson
10:34AM
Markets facing tug-of-war next week
Saxo Banks Peter Garny says thing could swing either way on the markets next week, once the glow from a week on central bank action has faded. He writes (with some jargon-busting notes from me):

The FOMC [Federal Open Market Committee, the central bank group that sets rates] smelled of missed opportunity for the Fed to get ahead of the curve and the complacency on the US-China trade war and recently ongoing stress in the USD repo market [see previous post].
Despite this backdrop US equities are close to all-time highs as we leave this central bank week and preparing for next week which will be very exciting on the macro release front. Most notably the Eurozone and US flash PMIs [purchasing managers index of activity data] on Monday will move the market and for rates traders the US PCE inflation (Aug) figure on Friday will be an important data point.
We suspect next week to be a tug of war between the bulls and bears in equities.If the S&P 500 futures manage to climb to new all-time highs, then we expect shorts to vanish like water in the Sahara. This will clear the path for higher equities despite the muddy macro picture.While remain negative on macro we cannot ignore the technical price action.
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Correction: My previous post is of course supposed to say make fourth in the headline, not make forth which is also arguably viable but undoubtedly pretentious. Please refresh the page to see the altered version!
10:20AM
Federal Reserve to make fourth foray into money markets as it tries to stem repo rates
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Credit:
Mark Lennihan/AP
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York will thrust its hand into the plumbing of American finance for the fourth day on the trot tomorrow, as it tries to prevent further clogging in the stretched money-lending market.
The NY Fed, acting on behalf of the main Fed, will once again take $75bn to the markets in order to try and reduce the repurchase rate, which shot above its target earlier this week.
Heres Ambrose Evans-Pritchards report from yesterday, after the Feds third cash trip received an overwhelming response:

The upheaval points to mounting stress in core parts of the US financial system andsuggests that the Feds quarter point cut in interest rates this weekdid not go far enough to bring the bond markets back into equilibrium. At the very least it raises serious questions about the central banks monetary toolkit.
The New York Fed injected an eye-watering $75bn on Thursday into the overnight repomarkets -a normally obscure but crucial element of US financial plumbing. Even that was not enough as the operation was oversubscribed.
Read more here:Federal Reserve takes crisis action to stem seizure in US money markets
10:12AM
Report: No-deal Brexit could push Scottish economy into recession
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon

Credit:
HAYOUNG JEON/EPA-EFE/REX
The latest Scottish State of the Economy reportsays the country could slip into a recession if the UK exit the European Union without a deal.
Scotlands chief economist Gary Gillespie found:
output growth contracted in the second quarter of the year reflecting the unwinding of stocks built up in advance of the original March Brexit deadline
Scotlands labour market continues to perform strongly by historical standards, however unemployment has increased in recent months
prolonged Brexit uncertainty continues to impact business investment in Scotland, posing a significant risk for future output growth and productivity
consumer and business sentiment remains weak in Scotland with households concerned about the economic outlook
the Scottish economy is generally forecast to grow at a slower pace in 2019 (assuming a smooth Brexit transition)
no deal Brexit remains a live risk which could push the Scottish economy into recession in 2020
Despite its relatively small population, Scotland now accounts for over half the UK's deficit
Economy Secretary Derek Mackay said:

Following the publication of GDP figures this week, this report is another warning of the worrying impact that Brexit uncertainty is already having on the Scottish economy and the risks it presents for the future.
There is no doubt that any form of Brexit will damage our economy and a no deal would be disastrous for Scotland and could push the country into recession.

Heres more on Scotlands finances, by economics correspondent Tom Rees:
Why Scotlands huge deficit means that numbers for independence dont add up
10:03AM
Climate strikes begin across globe
Many UK workers are expected to join walkouts today, as part of the largest climate strike in history:

Some of Fridays first protests were held in Australia, where an estimated 300,000 people gathered at more than 100 rallies calling for action to guard against climate change, with further demonstrations held across parts of Asia.
Protesters joining the climate strikes in Britain can expect a day of unseasonably warm weather as they call on businesses and politicians to cut emissions.
Global climate strike kicks off in Australia while Britain braces for weekend of chaos
Here are some photos from so far today:
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

A child walks past activists gathered for a world-wide climate rally, at the University of the Philippines' campus in Manila

Credit:
TED ALJIBE/AFP
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

Environmental activist play dead as they participate in a Global Climate Strike near the Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment office in Bangkok, Thailand

Credit:
CLIMATE-CHANGE/STRIKE-THAILAND
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

Protesters take part in the Global Strike 4 Climate rally in Sydney, Australia

Credit:
STEVEN SAPHORE/EPA-EFE/REX
9:56AM
Consumer champion passes ?500,000 milestone
A big milestone beaten for the Telegraphs consumer champion, Katie Morley:
SPECIAL ANNOUNCEMENT ???This weekend will be the first big milestone for the Katie Morley Investigates column. Following five more victories on Sat & Sun, I will have won back ?500,000 for @Telegraph readers in under 4 months?? Next stop ?1 million...Keep reading! #buyapaper Katie Morley (@KatieMorley_) September 20, 2019
You can read all her columns here.
9:52AM
Barclays: New Marks & Spencer store format offers enhanced shopping experience
Analysts from Barclays are among those to check out Marks & Spencers new-format, food-only store in Clapham Junction, as the company tries to adapt to challenging market conditions.
massive transformation of the m&s store on northcote road in Clapham junction. Used to be an old pretty hideous looking store. swish looking now. Clothing and home gone - all food now. A Waitrose over the road... bring on the food war.... pic.twitter.com/UCzHjP9cLR Deirdre Hipwell (@DeirdreHipwell) September 16, 2019
They write:

The Clapham Junction store features a number of new innovative concepts aimed at further enhancing customersshopping experience. Most noticeably, the branch, to our knowledge, is the first major UK supermarket bringing urban farms to an in-store setting. Allowing customers to pick herbs from the farmnot only increases freshness but also adds an element of theatre to the shopping trip.

Barclays kept its rating on the stock as neutral, but analysts said the retailers progress on its food sector which has tended to outperform its more troublesome clothing operation is likely to be an important part of M&Ss next update to the City.
9:40AM
Corporate round-up: Smiths Group, Hurricane Energy and Investec
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

Smiths Groups divisions include one that makes scanners
Its a fairly quiet day on the UK corporate announcement front, but heres what you need to know:
Smiths Group(FTSE 100) is up narrowly, after saying it was on course to grow ahead of the market across the medium term. It continued to grow across the full-year, continuing a return to the black from the year before.
The diversified engineering firm report an adjusted pre-tax profit rise of 13pc. Jefferies analysts said: In general, the performance in 2H19 looks satisfactory in the round, adding: The outlook for FY20 is satisfactory but not inspiring, in our view
Investec(FTSE 250) is down more than 5pc, after the dual-listed, South Africa-based banking group issued a warning over its first-half profits. It said its specialist lending business in the UK would underperform significantly due to the persistent uncertainty of Brexit and trade tensions.
Hurricane Energy(AIM 50) is down nearly 2pc, after falling to a loss after tax for the half year. It said its Greater Warwick Area drilling programme would begin shortly.
9:13AM
Climb puts pound on track for biggest winning streak since January
Bloomberg notes that if sterling can hold its gains to the close of trade today, it will be the pounds biggeststreak of gains since January. The currency is on course for three weeks of successive gains, after reaching a nadir at the start of the month.
9:10AM
Analyst: Sterling looks attractive because fading no-deal risk was priced in
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

Foreign exchange traders have been closely following political developments lately
FxPro analystAlex Kuptsikevichhas taken an interesting longer-term look at the pounds trends.
Without cracking out his crystal ball on where we will go from here politically, he suggests the pound is recovering because the impact of no-deal which markets are seeing as a fading possibility had already been fully priced-in. He writes:

During September, the British pound is struggling to get out of the pit where it fell on the fear of no-deal Brexit. This decline sent GBPUSD in August and early September to levels that had not been consistently achieved since 1985. However, it also probably attracted the interest of speculators who consider the current historically low levels as an excellent opportunity to buy over-sold British currency.
The turning point was September 3, when an intraday drop of almost 1pc during the London session was actively bought back. It buyback resulted in an exchange rate jump by the at the end of the day and leading to an even more powerful surge the next day.
It is hardly possible to consider that it is all about the mysterious insiders or smart traders who calculated the chances of Boris Johnson to come round Parliament and getting out of the EU exactly on October 31, with or without a deal. In our opinion, the pound was oversold by that time so much that it just had no room for further decline. The most destructive scenario for the economy was, probably, already priced in the historically low exchange rate.

SpreadExs Connor Campbell adds:

Sterlings feeling brave. The currency is clinging to its optimism regarding Brexit, with some overnight comments from Jean-Claude Juncker causing it to shoot higher...
...Its not shaping up to be the most thrilling session, in what has turned into a rather damp squib second half of the week, the markets struggling for direction following the Feds mixed bag statement on Wednesday evening.
8:58AM
Where did it all go wrong for Thomas Cook?
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

Thomas Cook, once the greatest name in travel, has an uncertain future

Credit:
BEN STANSALL/AFP
Thomas Cook shares are down almost 20pc today though theyre already at a pitiful 3.2p, having been worth around ?1.20 as recently as early last year.
My colleague Nick Trend has taken a look at the travel giants fall from grace. He writes:

When I started out in journalism nearly 30 years ago, a good deal of its historic reputation was intact. The company was celebrating 150 years since its first trip for a group of 500 teetotallers to a temperance rally in Loughborough in 1841. I remember tracing the spectacular growth of the company, which soon expanded in Europe and then initiated the first around-the-world cruises. Among the many innovations Thomas Cook introduced were rail passes, hotel vouchers and travellers cheques.
Thomas Cook | Fight for survival
But a series of missteps have now pushed it to the edge of oblivion.
Read more here:Where did it all go wrong for Thomas Cook?
8:51AM
Pound soars
Sterling is continuing its strong performance against the euro and the dollar.
The climb began after markets closed yesterday, when Sky News released an interview in which European Commission president Jean-Claude Juncker said he still believes the UK and EU can reach a deal before Halloween.
Heres what the longer-term picture looks like (with approximate figures).
8:39AM
Analyst: Still unlikely a Brexit deal can be reached by the deadline
Reacting to this mornings market moves, OANDAs Craig Erlam says:

Stock markets across Europe are marginally lower as we head into a more peaceful end to the week, one that has been dominated by central banks around the globe.
The pound has jumped at the end of the week after outgoing European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker sounded optimistic about the prospects for a Brexit deal. This came after Johnson gave a new proposal to Juncker that he believes could break the deadlock and at least gave the impression that the commission will consider alternative ideas.
Unfortunately, this late in the day, its still unlikely that a new agreement can be reached without an extension. Perhaps that's why officials on the EU side are making a conscious effort to sound more open to a deal, as they dont want to fall into the trap of sounding dismissive and being blamed for any no-deal eventuality, which plays into Boris hands.
Business Briefing Newsletter REFERRAL (Article)
8:32AM
Where will the Bank of England move next?
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

The Bank of England held interest rates at 0.75pc on Thursday

Credit:
Hannah Mckay/REUTERS
Following the Bank of Englands decision to (yet again) hold interest rates yesterday, what will the next move from its Monetary Policy Committee be?
That was the question on everyones mind on Thursday, but the answer is unlikely to be simple. Policymakers at the central bank were clear on one thing: the future is unclear.
Despite signs of global gloom, they said it was better to wait out the coming months and see what Brexit brings, rather than making the pre-emptive cut that some have demanded.
Read more here:Bank of England gloomier on growth but refuses to join Fed in cutting rates
Deutsche Banks Sanjay Raja says:

The MPC noted that a further Brexit extension would result in entrenched uncertainty, increasing slack (i.e. excess supply) - which would keep growth below potential resulting in a softening in domestically generated inflation. What does this mean for policy? Barring a deal by 31 October, we now see the MPC moving towards an easing bias.

For some investors, the prospect of turbulence-induced interest rate cuts presents an opportunity which a record number of bets placed on changing economicpolicy:
Investors are placing record bets that interest rates will shift in a no-deal Brexit
8:10AM
FTSE falls at open
European markets have opened, and the FTSE has quickly slid. The exporter-heavy index, many constituents of which benefit from a weak pound, is feeling the pressure from sterlings rise.
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

Credit:
Bloomberg TV
8:08AM
Thomas Cook dealt fresh blow in battle for survival
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

The tour operator risks going into administration if it cannot meet lenders' financial requirements

Credit:
ARMANDO BABANI/EPA-EFE/REX
And heres a more unhappy RBS story: Thomas Cooks battle to avert collapse has been dealt a blow after lenders led by the bankasked for an extra ?200m injection. My colleagues Oliver Gill and LaToya Harding report:

A 17-strong banking syndicate led by Royal Bank of Scotland have asked for an additional ?200m of additional underwritten funds despite the 178-year-old company being in the final throes of restructuring led by Chinese conglomerate Fosun.
The request is understood to have angered those at the company, with insiders believing that RBS is forcing the 178-year-old firm towards collapse.
You can read their full report here:Thomas Cookssurvival battle hit by ?200m demand
8:03AM
Alison Rose named new boss of RBS, becoming first woman to hold top job at a big UK bank
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

Alison Rose is the new chief executive of RBS

Credit:
Simon Dawson/Bloomberg
RBS lifer Alison Rose is tobecome the first woman ever to run one of Britain's biggest banksafter the taxpayer-controlled lender confirmed her hire as chief executive. Banking Editor Lucy Burton reports:

The bank finally broke its silence on Friday by announcing that internal frontrunner Ms Rose will replace Ross McEwan in November. Mr McEwan, who resigned in April and is taking the reins at National Australia Bank (NAB), will stand down on October 31.
Ms Rose was understood to have been informally selected by the lenders board over a month ago but the bank has been waiting for regulators to sign off on the decision.
Read more here:RBS names Alison Rose as new boss after weeks of speculation
7:39AM
What happened overnight
Asian share prices inched higher on Friday as economic stimulus around the world eased fears of economic deceleration, while crude oil prices climbed on concerns that last weekends attacks on Saudi Arabias oil facilities still pose supply risks.
On Thursday, the S&P 500 ended flat, staying than less than 1pcbelow its closing record high hit in July while the pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index also came within sight of this year's peak.
Japans Nikkei rose 0.34pcto come within striking distance of its year-to-date peak.
Asian shares have been lagging global peers in recent months and MSCIs broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan is on course to post its first weekly loss in five, although it rose 0.08pcearly on Friday.
In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index inched up 8.16 points to 26,477.11 by the break.
7:38AM
Brexit hopes lift pound
Pound holds longest streak of gains since January amid mixed signals on Brexit

European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker and British Prime Minister Boris Johnson sit for a meeting in Luxembourg on Monday

Credit:
JULIEN WARNAND/EPA-EFE/REX
Good morning. Thepound leapt against the euro and dollar in after hours trading yesterday, following comments by Jean-Claude Juncker to Sky News in which the European Commission President said he believed a Brexit deal is still possible by 31 October.
It was sterlingshighest level since July 19th just before Boris Johnson became Prime Minister. Lets see if the currencyholds its gain today.
EC President @JunckerEU said he thinks a #Brexit deal can be reached by 31 October.

Speaking exclusively to @RidgeOnSunday, he also warned that a no-deal #Brexit would be "catastrophic" for Britain and for the EU.

Check out the full interview on #Ridge from 8.30am this Sunday. pic.twitter.com/8ahZ6X8l4K Sky News (@SkyNews) September 19, 2019

5 things to start your day


1)Why Brexit may trigger a rate rise as other central banks keep cutting:The Fed has now delivered two cuts, the European Central Bank has served up a buffet of negative rates, loans and money printing, and the Swiss National Bank has tweaked its framework for negative rates opening the door to them being lowered further still.
2)Excessive gloom over a no deal Brexit could end up harming the economy if it stops the Treasury spending money or the Bank of England from cutting interest rates, according to Gerard Lyons, a contender to run the Bank. He fears that officials will slash growth forecasts too much, limiting room for the Chancellor to spend money, or forcing up inflation predictions and so pushing the Bank to raise rates.
The potential impact of a no-deal Brexit on UK GDP
3)A drastic shortage of liquidity in US funding markets has forced the Federal Reserve to intervene for a third consecutive day, resorting to measureslast seen in the global financial crisis.The upheaval points to mounting stress in core parts of the US financial system and suggests that the Feds quarter point cut in interest rates this week did not go far enough to bring the bond markets back into equilibrium.
4)Investors are placing record bets that interest rates will shift in a no-deal Brexit:Thenumber of short options taken out on UK interest rates moves has hit an all-time high, as traders look to bet on or hedge against a shift in monetary policy if Britain crashes out of the EU without arrangements in place.
5)The competition watchdog said JD Sports ?90m takeover of Footasylumcould lead to higher pricesand worse choice for shoppers, but fell short of explaining its reasons in more detail.The Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) started scrutinising the deal in May, two months after JD Sports swooped on its smaller rival.

Coming up today


Preliminary results:Smiths Group
Interim results:Hurricane Energy
Trading statement:Investec
Economics:Consumer confidence (eurozone)
See also:
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