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Liverpool unluckiest Premier League team & Manchester United luckiest, says study

[img]https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/onesport/cps/480/cpsprodpb/BC57/production/_102851284_coutinho_penalty_getty.jpg" srcset="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/onesport/cps/240/cpsprodpb/BC57/production/_102851284_coutinho_penalty_getty.jpg 240w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/onesport/cps/320/cpsprodpb/BC57/production/_102851284_coutinho_penalty_getty.jpg 320w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/onesport/cps/480/cpsprodpb/BC57/production/_102851284_coutinho_penalty_getty.jpg 480w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/onesport/cps/624/cpsprodpb/BC57/production/_102851284_coutinho_penalty_getty.jpg 624w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/onesport/cps/800/cpsprodpb/BC57/production/_102851284_coutinho_penalty_getty.jpg 800w" sizes="(min-width: 900px) 50vw, (min-width: 600px) 70vw, 100vw" alt="Liverpool v Manchester United - Philippe Coutinho is fouled in the box" class="">
The study found Liverpool's 0-0 draw at home to Manchester United in October would have become a 1-0 win had the Reds been awarded a penaltyLiverpool were the 'unluckiest' team in the Premier League last season while Manchester United were the 'luckiest', new research claims. The Reds dropped 12 points in matches affected by wrongly disallowed goals or incorrect decisions on penalties and red cards, says a study conducted by ESPN, Intel and the University of Bath.[/i]It says United gained six points over incidents that went in their favour.
Manchester City remain top in a new simulated table accounting for 'luck'.However, the study found Huddersfield should have been relegated instead of Stoke when 'incorrect' refereeing decisions were taken into account.It also found Brighton would have finished six places higher - moving up to ninth and earning an extra £11.5m in prize money on their return to the top flight. Conversely, Leicester would have finished 14th instead of ninth, ending the season with £9.7m less in prize money.Fourth-placed Liverpool would have swapped with second-placed United, and champions City fallen three points short of their 100 mark.
How did the 'Luck Index' work[/img]

bbc.comThe research team analysed over 150 incidents and also found:
Leicester scored three goals after injury time overran - more than any other side.
Huddersfield's John Smith's Stadium saw the most deflected goals - five. Two of those worked in the Terriers' favour.
Matt Ritchie was the 'luckiest player'. The Newcastle winger avoided two red cards, while a handball in the box against Leicester went unnoticed.
Assistant Professor Thomas Curran from the University of Bath said each game was simulated "thousands of times to model how it should have turned out". He said the project was "one of the most detailed pieces of research we have ever conducted".Former referee Walton added: "The results demonstrate the impact and importance of refereeing decisions on a game. "With the Premier League deciding not to introduce VAR for the coming season, it is interesting to see how much luck plays a part in the way the league unfolds."
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