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England v New Zealand: Where Cricket World Cup final will be won and lost

[img]https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/onesport/cps/480/cpsprodpb/10136/production/_107864856_heroimage2.jpg" srcset="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/onesport/cps/240/cpsprodpb/10136/production/_107864856_heroimage2.jpg 240w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/onesport/cps/320/cpsprodpb/10136/production/_107864856_heroimage2.jpg 320w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/onesport/cps/480/cpsprodpb/10136/production/_107864856_heroimage2.jpg 480w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/onesport/cps/624/cpsprodpb/10136/production/_107864856_heroimage2.jpg 624w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/onesport/cps/800/cpsprodpb/10136/production/_107864856_heroimage2.jpg 800w" sizes="(min-width: 900px) 50vw, (min-width: 600px) 70vw, 100vw" alt="Kane Williamson, Trent Boult, Jofra Archer and Jason Roy line up in a split image" class="">
England have won seven of their past nine ODIs against New Zealand
bbc.comAfter four years of planning and 40 more of waiting, England's men can win the World Cup for the first time on Sunday.Standing in their way at Lord's will be New Zealand, runners-up in 2015 and surprise finalists this time around. England will start as big favourites, but that is to not discount the Black Caps, who stunned India in the semi-finals.
Where will the final be won and lost[/img]
The toss
[IMG]data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7" data-src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/onesport/cps/{width}{hidpi}/cpsprodpb/14F56/production/_107864858_morgantoss.jpg" data-sizes="auto" alt="Eoin Morgan at the toss against Australia">
England have won six out of 10 tosses at the World Cup, with New Zealand also winning sixThe flick of the coin has probably lost a little of its significance since England won their semi-final against Australia batting second, but it is still true that almost two-thirds of the completed games in this World Cup have been won by the team batting first. And, even then, the hosts' win wasn't a run chase per se, more a canter after their bowlers took advantage of some early movement to restrict the Aussies to 223. On that occasion, it can actually be argued it was a good toss to lose. Lord's is likely to be different and will probably be at its best for batting early. In the four games hosted here so far at this World Cup, not one has been won by the team batting second. If England get the opportunity to bat and bully New Zealand from the off, like they did when the two sides met in the group stage, the final could be over before it has begun. However, Eoin Morgan's men will also back themselves whatever they do first, especially given their pre-tournament reputation as a side that can chase any score. The toss seems more important to New Zealand's chances. In the semis, they battled to a score against India, then squeezed with the ball and in the field. That may well be their best hope here.
The first 10 overs
It is no coincidence England got back to their best in this tournament when Jason Roy returned from a hamstring injury to reprise his spectacular opening partnership with Jonny Bairstow. In fact, the difference between the opening pairs in this final is as vast as the distance between London and Auckland. On the one hand, Roy and Bairstow can lay claim to be the best of all time. Of every opening pair to have added 2,000 runs in ODIs, no partnership has a higher average than the Roy-Bairstow mark of 69.46. In this tournament, they are averaging of 91.33, with four century stands at a rate of almost seven runs per over.
Click to see content: openingpartnerships
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