Authorization

Premier League title race: Liverpool and their challengers are breaking records

[IMG]https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/onesport/cps/480/cpsprodpb/712E/production/_105047982_topofthepremierleague.png" srcset="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/onesport/cps/240/cpsprodpb/712E/production/_105047982_topofthepremierleague.png 240w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/onesport/cps/320/cpsprodpb/712E/production/_105047982_topofthepremierleague.png 320w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/onesport/cps/480/cpsprodpb/712E/production/_105047982_topofthepremierleague.png 480w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/onesport/cps/624/cpsprodpb/712E/production/_105047982_topofthepremierleague.png 624w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/onesport/cps/800/cpsprodpb/712E/production/_105047982_topofthepremierleague.png 800w" sizes="(min-width: 900px) 50vw, (min-width: 600px) 70vw, 100vw" alt="Snapshot of the top of the Premier League: 1st Liverpool, 2nd Man City, 3rd Tottenham, 4th Chelsea, 5th Arsenal, 6th Man Utd" class="">
In almost any other year, Liverpool would be nailed on to win the Premier League.Only three top-flight teams in the last 113 years have recorded a better points total after 21 matches than Liverpool (re-calculating all seasons to three points for a win).But the Reds find themselves doing this in a season in which the points totals for the teams in second and third are unprecedented.
A team with a points total as big as Liverpool's could usually expect to have a lead in double figures at this point.But with a gap of only four points to second-placed Manchester City, Liverpool do not have that luxury. The Euro Club Index[/i] - a ranking of all European teams - estimates Liverpool's chance of winning the league at 56.6%, ahead of Manchester City's 33.5% and Tottenham Hotspur's 8.6%.Even fourth-placed Chelsea, 10 points behind Liverpool, cannot be written off yet as the Blues have a 1% chance of a shock title win. In fact, Chelsea's total of 44 points is the joint highest for a fourth-placed team at this stage.Here is how dominant the Premier League's top sides have been this season:
Liverpool being made to work
Recent attention has concentrated on Liverpool failing to win the league title when leading at Christmas but in each of those seasons, their lead was small.In fact, the leads Liverpool had at Christmas in 2008 and 2013 had already been lost by this point. The only previous Premier League season in which Liverpool led after 21 matches was 1996-97 - by two points from Arsenal and four ahead of eventual champions Manchester United. This season Liverpool are another beast altogether, recording one of the best opening 21 matches in the English top flight since 1905-1906, when 20 teams competed for the first time.Normally such a start would result in a sizeable lead at this stage but Liverpool's four-point cushion is the smallest of any team with at least 52 points at this stage.Every team with at least 52 points after 21 matches has been crowned English champions, with Chelsea's five-point lead over Arsenal in 2004-05 the smallest.
bbc.comThe difference between Liverpool and dominant teams in the past is that the Reds have a genuine rival for the title, and possibly even two.
Liverpool's contenders break records
The 2-1 victory over Liverpool on 3 January made Manchester City the first top-flight team to get 50 points from their first 21 matches and not be top of the league.The previous best points total for a team in second at this stage was Liverpool in 1990-91, with 49 points after 21 matches, but behind Arsenal on goal difference, and Arsenal's 'Invincibles', who had 49 points after 21 matches in 2003-04 but were a point behind Manchester United. To continue the pattern, Tottenham's 48 points is the highest ever of any third-placed team. The previous best was the 46 points for Spurs in 2011-12 and Chelsea in 2013-14. One of the key reasons for Tottenham's points total this season is their complete lack of draws.Tottenham are only the second post-war team to go 21 games into a season without a draw, with Burnley in 1953-54 the other.
Click to see content: PL_points_per_match
See also:
Leave a comment
News
  • Latest
  • Read
  • Commented
Calendar Content
«    Январь 2019    »
ПнВтСрЧтПтСбВс
 123456
78910111213
14151617181920
21222324252627
28293031